Will at least one of these cryptocurrencies have a positive return in 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 10 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 49.0% | $503 | $8.2K | A | KXCRYPTORETU…XLM | ||
| Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 27.0% | $34 | $29K | A | KXCRYPTORETU…BTC | ||
| Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 25.0% | $81 | $8.3K | A | KXCRYPTORETU…INK | ||
| Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 24.0% | $1 | $6.4K | A | KXCRYPTORETU…OGE | ||
| Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 21.0% | $30 | $21K | A | KXCRYPTORETU…XRP | ||
| Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 19.0% | $6 | $10K | A | KXCRYPTORETU…ETH | ||
| Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 19.0% | — | $4.2K | A | KXCRYPTORETU…IBA | ||
| Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 19.0% | $286 | $13K | A | KXCRYPTORETU…SOL | ||
| Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 15.0% | $23 | $2.0K | A | KXCRYPTORETU…LTC | ||
| Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 5.0% | $1 | $1.2K | A | KXCRYPTORETU…DOT |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | CF Benchmarks | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Chainlink has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Return will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcryptoreturny-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcryptoreturny-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcryptoreturny-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-8WMSNMGTW3",
"slug": "kxcryptoreturny-26",
"question": "Will at least one of these cryptocurrencies have a positive return in 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"crypto-returns",
"2027-resolution",
"performance-comparison",
"price-appreciation",
"asset-selection"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 102998,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}