Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality by August 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-01 (59D) ]
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 82.0% | — | $14K | A | KXCRITICALIT…RES | ||
| Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 75.0% | $74 | $34K | A | KXCRITICALIT…ALO | ||
| Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 70.0% | $63 | $18K | A | KXCRITICALIT…MIC | ||
| Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 66.0% | $80 | $46K | A | KXCRITICALIT…LAR | ||
| Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 33.0% | $51 | $5.2K | A | KXCRITICALIT…KLO | ||
| Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 16.0% | $9 | $2.5K | A | KXCRITICALIT…ANT | ||
| Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 7.0% | — | $309 | A | KXCRITICALIT…EEP | ||
| Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 6.0% | — | $130 | A | KXCRITICALIT…AST | ||
| Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 6.0% | — | $229 | A | KXCRITICALIT…URA | ||
| Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 5.0% | — | $224 | A | KXCRITICALIT…IAL |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the International Atomic Energy Agency | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the International Atomic Energy Agency" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcriticality-26aug/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcriticality-26aug.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcriticality-26aug") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-N7GQBKNGS8",
"slug": "kxcriticality-26aug",
"question": "Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality by August 2026?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"nuclear-power",
"reactor-criticality",
"2026",
"energy-technology",
"company-milestone"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 120591,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "the International Atomic Energy Agency",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}