CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week by end of 2025? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Nov 1, 2026?

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
kalshi 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Jan 1, 2027 2027-01-01 85.0%
$4.8K
B KXCOMPANYACT…N01
Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Nov 1, 2026 2027-01-01 57.0%
$13 $536
B KXCOMPANYACT…V01
Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Sep 1, 2026 2027-01-01 9.0%
$48 $427
B KXCOMPANYACT…P01
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR database not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 3 markets · share this text
If Waymo officially announces 1 million paid rides per week before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR database"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcompanyactionwaymo-27/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcompanyactionwaymo-27.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxcompanyactionwaymo-27")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YQR2CSFZW1",
  "slug": "kxcompanyactionwaymo-27",
  "question": "Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week by end of 2025?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "waymo",
    "autonomous-vehicles",
    "ridership-milestone",
    "2026",
    "business-metrics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5726,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 71,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR database",
  "resolution_source_url": "http://www.sec.gov/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →