Will the Commerce Department receive gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts) totaling a specified amount in FY2026? [ resolves 2027-04-01 (302D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $1,000,000 | 2027-04-01 | 96.0% | — | $1.2K | C | KXCOMMGIFTS-…000 | ||
| ≥ $10,000,000 | 2027-04-01 | 26.0% | — | $17 | C | KXCOMMGIFTS-…000 | ||
| ≥ $100,000,000 | 2027-04-01 | 50.0% | — | $3.3K | C | KXCOMMGIFTS-…000 | ||
| ≥ $1,000,000,000 | 2027-04-01 | 11.0% | — | $350 | C | KXCOMMGIFTS-…000 | ||
| ≥ $2,000,000,000 | 2027-04-01 | 10.0% | — | $282 | C | KXCOMMGIFTS-…000 | ||
| ≥ $4,000,000,000 | 2027-04-01 | 5.0% | — | $134 | C | KXCOMMGIFTS-…000 | ||
| ≥ $6,000,000,000 | 2027-04-01 | 4.0% | — | $107 | C | KXCOMMGIFTS-…000 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the Statistical Review of World Energy | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the Statistical Review of World Energy" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcommgifts-26sep30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcommgifts-26sep30.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcommgifts-26sep30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-JYK94LFFH4",
"slug": "kxcommgifts-26sep30",
"question": "Will the Commerce Department receive gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts) totaling a specified amount in FY2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-commerce-department",
"government-fundraising",
"gifts-bequests",
"trump-gold-card",
"fy2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5388,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 45,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}