Will a specific candidate win the Chicago mayoral election? [ resolves 2027-02-23 (265D) ]
Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexi Giannoulias · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 54.0% | — | $4.7K | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…GIA | ||
| Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election | 2027-02-23 | 21.0% | $57 | $3.5K | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…MEN | ||
| Mike Quigley · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 14.0% | — | $231 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…QUI | ||
| Brandon Johnson · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 9.9% | — | $149 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…JOH | ||
| Maria Pappas · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 7.4% | — | $90 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…PAP | ||
| Rahm Emanuel · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 6.0% | — | $25 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…EMA | ||
| Kam Buckner · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 6.0% | — | $6 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…BUC | ||
| Joe Holberg · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 6.0% | — | $7 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…HOL | ||
| Paul Vallas · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 5.2% | — | $21 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…VAL |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxchicagomayor-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxchicagomayor-27.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxchicagomayor-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-5VSXNFCXN5",
"slug": "kxchicagomayor-27",
"question": "Will a specific candidate win the Chicago mayoral election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"chicago-mayor",
"2028-election",
"us-politics",
"local-government",
"electoral-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8732,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}