Chicago Mayor winner? [ resolves 2027-02-23 (215D) ]
kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexi Giannoulias · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 55.0% | — | $6.7K | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…GIA | ||
| Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election | 2027-02-23 | 18.0% | $9 | $4.2K | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…MEN | ||
| Matt Brewer · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 12.0% | — | $730 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…BRE | ||
| Brandon Johnson · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 11.0% | — | $705 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…JOH | ||
| Liam Stanton · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 8.0% | $0 | $535 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…STA | ||
| Joe Holberg · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 5.0% | — | $135 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…HOL | ||
| Mike Quigley · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 4.6% | — | $191 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…QUI | ||
| Rahm Emanuel · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 1.6% | — | $11 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…EMA | ||
| George Cardenas · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 1.0% | — | $3 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…CAR | ||
| Lisa Madigan · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 1.0% | — | $1 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…MAD | ||
| Kam Buckner · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 0.3% | — | $1 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…BUC | ||
| Maria Pappas · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 0.2% | — | $3 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…PAP | ||
| Paul Vallas · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 0.2% | — | $1 | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…VAL | ||
| Lisa Nee · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…NEE | ||
| John Kitover · Who will win 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | 2027-02-23 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXCHICAGOMAY…KIT |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Alexi Giannoulias wins the 2027 Chicago mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" sources (7) · stated precedence rule
- relevant county clerk or board of elections source of record venue-listed
- Attorney General of the United States venue-listed
- relevant city/municipal clerk venue-listed
- in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer venue-listed
- the Federal Election Commission venue-listed
- state board of elections or canvassing board venue-listed
- The Source Agencies are venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxchicagomayor-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxchicagomayor-27 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxchicagomayor-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-5VSXNFCXN5",
"slug": "kxchicagomayor-27",
"question": "Chicago Mayor winner?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"chicago-politics",
"us-mayoral-election",
"2028-election",
"local-government",
"electoral-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13136,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Attorney General of the United States",
"url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Federal Election Commission",
"url": "https://www.fec.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Source Agencies are",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}