Will the California 42nd congressional district primary advance two candidates to the general election by the specified date? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
Will Brian Burley advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robert Garcia advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary | 2026-11-03 | 97.0% | — | $11K | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…GAR | ||
| Will Noah Von Blom advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary | 2026-11-03 | 72.0% | $501 | $914 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…BLO | ||
| Will Brian Burley advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary | 2026-11-03 | 54.0% | $469 | $1.4K | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…BUR | ||
| Will Larisa Vermeulen advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary | 2026-11-03 | 1.5% | — | $2 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…VER | ||
| Will Long Pham advance in the 2026 CA-42 primary | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | $0 | $25 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…PHA |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Washington Secretary of State | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Washington Secretary of State" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
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| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcaprimary-4226/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcaprimary-4226.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcaprimary-4226") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-FMZ5B2LGL9",
"slug": "kxcaprimary-4226",
"question": "Will the California 42nd congressional district primary advance two candidates to the general election by the specified date?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"california-politics",
"primary-election",
"2026-election",
"us-congress",
"electoral-advancement"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13345,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 66,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "Washington Secretary of State",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}