Will Laura Friedman advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
Will Scott Meyers advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Laura Friedman advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary | 2026-11-03 | 99.7% | — | $58K | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…FRI | ||
| Will Scott Meyers advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary | 2026-11-03 | 64.0% | $77 | $9.1K | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…MEY | ||
| Will Dennis Feitosa advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary | 2026-11-03 | 25.0% | — | $2.9K | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…FEI | ||
| Will Joel Lava advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary | 2026-11-03 | 15.0% | — | $48 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…LAV | ||
| Will Cameron Tennyson advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary | 2026-11-03 | 15.0% | $15 | $486 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…TEN | ||
| Will John Armenian advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary | 2026-11-03 | 7.5% | — | $42 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…ARM | ||
| Will Pini Herman advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary | 2026-11-03 | 4.5% | $2 | $30 | C | KXCAPRIMARY-…HER |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Washington Secretary of State | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Washington Secretary of State" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcaprimary-3026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcaprimary-3026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcaprimary-3026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-DMT66K2B85",
"slug": "kxcaprimary-3026",
"question": "Will Laura Friedman advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-elections-2026",
"california-politics",
"primary-election",
"house-race",
"ca-30"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 70784,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 66,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "Washington Secretary of State",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}