Will someone leave California before 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will Larry Page announce they're leaving California?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Peter Thiel announce they're leaving California | 2027-01-01 | 67.0% | — | $2.1K | B | KXCALIFORNIA…THI | ||
| Will Larry Page announce they're leaving California | 2027-01-01 | 52.0% | — | $1.7K | B | KXCALIFORNIA…PAG | ||
| Will Mark Zuckerberg announce they're leaving California | 2027-01-01 | 33.0% | $0 | $1.3K | B | KXCALIFORNIA…ZUC | ||
| Will Marc Andreessen announce they're leaving California | 2027-01-01 | 23.0% | — | $703 | B | KXCALIFORNIA…AND | ||
| Will Chamath Palihapitiya announce they're leaving California | 2027-01-01 | 18.0% | — | $401 | B | KXCALIFORNIA…PAL | ||
| Will Palmer Luckey announce they're leaving California | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | — | $108 | B | KXCALIFORNIA…LUC | ||
| Will Jensen Huang announce they're leaving California | 2027-01-01 | 13.0% | — | $60 | B | KXCALIFORNIA…HUA |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | CNBC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "CNBC" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcalifornialeave-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcalifornialeave-27.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcalifornialeave-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-S5NWNB3J05",
"slug": "kxcalifornialeave-27",
"question": "Will someone leave California before 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"california-exodus",
"tech-leadership",
"state-relocation",
"2027",
"person-specific"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6291,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "CNBC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}