Will Canada's Ivey PMI for May 2026 be released? [ resolves 2026-06-12 (9D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 47.5 | 2026-06-12 | 98.0% | — | $2.2K | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…7.5 | ||
| ≥ 48 | 2026-06-12 | 96.0% | — | $1.7K | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…8.0 | ||
| ≥ 48.5 | 2026-06-12 | 86.0% | — | $1.5K | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…8.5 | ||
| ≥ 49 | 2026-06-12 | 78.0% | — | $1.3K | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…9.0 | ||
| ≥ 49.5 | 2026-06-12 | 71.0% | — | $388 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…9.5 | ||
| ≥ 50 | 2026-06-12 | 60.0% | — | $22 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 50.5 | 2026-06-12 | 47.0% | — | $1 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…0.5 | ||
| ≥ 51 | 2026-06-12 | 55.0% | — | $65 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…1.0 | ||
| ≥ 51.5 | 2026-06-12 | 44.0% | — | $56 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…1.5 | ||
| ≥ 52 | 2026-06-12 | 44.0% | — | $211 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…2.0 | ||
| ≥ 52.5 | 2026-06-12 | 36.0% | — | $184 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…2.5 | ||
| ≥ 53 | 2026-06-12 | 31.0% | — | $184 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…3.0 | ||
| ≥ 53.5 | 2026-06-12 | 35.0% | — | $39 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…3.5 | ||
| ≥ 54 | 2026-06-12 | 28.0% | — | $230 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…4.0 | ||
| ≥ 54.5 | 2026-06-12 | 25.0% | — | $111 | A | KXCAIVEYPMI-…4.5 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Trading Economics | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Trading Economics" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcaiveypmi-26jun05/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcaiveypmi-26jun05.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcaiveypmi-26jun05") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-8VHYDKB119",
"slug": "kxcaiveypmi-26jun05",
"question": "Will Canada's Ivey PMI for May 2026 be released?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"canada-economics",
"pmi-index",
"manufacturing-sentiment",
"may-2026",
"business-confidence"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8214,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Trading Economics",
"resolution_source_url": "https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/business-confidence",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}