Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? [ resolves 2026-06-16 (13D) ]
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 24 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 86.0% | $28K | $37K | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…STE | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 15.0% | $3.8K | $5.4K | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…STE | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 12.0% | $1.8K | $2.7K | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…HIL | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 4.5% | $1.5K | $2.2K | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…HIL | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.6% | $64 | $97 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BEC | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.2% | $26 | $110 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BIA | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $22 | $32 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BIA | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $8 | $46 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…STE | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $16 | $50 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…HIL | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $51 | $81 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BIA | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $13 | $26 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BEC | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $42 | $65 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BIA | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $39 | $76 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BEC | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $45 | $65 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…HIL | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $97 | $149 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BIA | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $64 | $82 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BIA | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $80 | $124 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BEC | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $47 | $96 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…STE | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $46 | $107 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…STE | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $72 | $105 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…HIL | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $66 | $98 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BEC | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $48 | $87 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…HIL | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $55 | $90 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…BEC | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | $44 | $80 | B | KXCAGOVPRIMA…STE |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Xavier Becerra (1st), Tom Steyer (2nd), Steve Hilton (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics" ↗ recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxcagovprimarytop3-26jun02/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxcagovprimarytop3-26jun02.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxcagovprimarytop3-26jun02") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CF8ZC1ML12",
"slug": "kxcagovprimarytop3-26jun02",
"question": "Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"california-politics",
"gubernatorial-primary",
"2026-election",
"top-finishers",
"ranked-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 24,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 49182,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 66,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}