Will there be a Bulgarian presidential election winner by 2026-11-15? [ resolves 2026-11-15 (115D) ]
kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iliana Yotova | 2026-11-15 | 50.0% | — | $7.7K | A | KXBULGARIAPR…YOT | ||
| Nikolai Denkov | 2026-11-15 | 5.7% | — | $243 | A | KXBULGARIAPR…DEN | ||
| Krum Zarkov | 2026-11-15 | 5.0% | — | $0 | A | KXBULGARIAPR…ZAR | ||
| Yanaki Stoilov | 2026-11-15 | 4.0% | — | $0 | A | KXBULGARIAPR…STO | ||
| Rosen Zhelyazkov | 2026-11-15 | 3.8% | — | $104 | A | KXBULGARIAPR…ZHE | ||
| Blagomir Kotsev | 2026-11-15 | 2.7% | — | $27 | A | KXBULGARIAPR…KOT | ||
| Vasil Terziev | 2026-11-15 | 2.6% | — | $34 | A | KXBULGARIAPR…TER | ||
| Nataliya Kiselova | 2026-11-15 | 1.0% | — | $0 | A | KXBULGARIAPR…KIS | ||
| Kostadin Kostadinov | 2026-11-15 | 1.0% | — | $0 | A | KXBULGARIAPR…KOS | ||
| Atanas Atanasov | 2026-11-15 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXBULGARIAPR…ATA | ||
| Andrey Gyurov | 2026-11-15 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXBULGARIAPR…GYU |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Iliana Yotova wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections" sources (3) · stated precedence rule
- or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections venue-listed
- in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission venue-listed
- constitutional court venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbulgariapres-26nov15/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbulgariapres-26nov15 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbulgariapres-26nov15") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-WVWY5FW7D3",
"slug": "kxbulgariapres-26nov15",
"question": "Will there be a Bulgarian presidential election winner by 2026-11-15?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"bulgarian-politics",
"presidential-election",
"2027-election",
"eastern-europe",
"executive-leadership"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8061,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 88,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "constitutional court",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}