CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Bitcoin price, August 7, 2026 [ resolved 2026-08-07 ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 50 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $51,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$17 $376
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $51,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$1 $235
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $52,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$94
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $52,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$1 $218
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $53,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$11 $117
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $53,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$46
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $54,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$57
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $54,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$15
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $55,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$93 $108
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $55,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$2.2K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $56,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$310 $1.3K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $56,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$182 $1.1K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $57,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$6 $1.5K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $57,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$66 $3.6K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $58,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$36 $14K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $58,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$307 $6.4K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $59,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$461 $15K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $59,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$2.0K $13K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $60,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$24K $79K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $60,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$6.0K $20K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $61,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$3.1K $36K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $61,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$4.0K $35K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $62,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$10K $134K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $62,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$9.3K $106K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $63,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$28K $120K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $63,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$41K $104K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $64,000 2026-08-07 100.0%
$30K $73K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $64,500 2026-08-07 100.0%
$13K $22K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $65,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
$3.4K $11K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $65,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
$617 $2.6K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $66,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
$1.3K $5.2K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $66,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
$528 $4.5K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $67,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
$203 $2.7K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $67,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
$381 $1.6K
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $68,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
$134 $390
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $68,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
$39 $351
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $69,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
$6 $154
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $69,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
$9 $43
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $70,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
$36 $221
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $70,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
$1 $6
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $71,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
$5 $13
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $71,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
$0 $0
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $72,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
$3
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $72,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
$1 $1
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $73,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
$1
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $73,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
$7
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $74,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $74,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $75,000 2026-08-07 0.0%
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
≥ $75,500 2026-08-07 0.0%
$2
A KXBTCD-26AUG….99
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff CF Benchmarks link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 50 markets · share this text
EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXBTCD, notice id KXBTCD-2026-04-09): **Important information:** The price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices. [END EXCHANGE NOTICE] If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 50999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks"
sources (2) · single authority
CF Benchmarks committed source CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) from rules text
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Bitcoin price on Aug 7, 2026? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (50 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
  • 2026-08-07T08:54:29+00:00 volume-spike
    Bitcoin Aug 7 upper range holds at 80% through heavy trading 80% · $89K 24h
    • 80% odds favor Bitcoin closing in the upper price bracket on today's settlement.
    • $89K in 24h is 35% of all-time volume for this contract, a meaningful single-day concentration.
    • Same-day resolution amplifies urgency, traders locking in directional views into the close.
    • Resolves on Bitcoin's official price at end of August 7, 2026.
  • 2026-08-07T08:54:29+00:00 volume-spike
    Bitcoin Aug 7 mid-range contract sits near 50% on fresh volume 51% · $51K 24h
    • 51% price on the mid-range bracket shows a near-coin-flip on today's Bitcoin close level.
    • $51K in 24h is 49% of all-time volume, almost the entire contract history trading today.
    • Companion spike in the upper-range contract (Spike 4) suggests layered bracket positioning.
    • Resolves on Bitcoin's official price at end of August 7, 2026.
  • 2026-08-06T10:36:04+00:00 volume-spike
    Bitcoin Aug 7 range bet draws heavy trading at 34% odds 34% · $17K 24h
    • 34% price means the targeted BTC range for Aug 7 is seen as a minority-probability outcome.
    • 48% of all-time volume in one session flags sharp positioning ahead of tomorrow's settlement.
    • Overnight BTC moves or macro sentiment shifts are likely driving last-minute range speculation.
    • Resolves Aug 7, imminent expiry concentrates risk and amplifies volume in the final hours.
  • 2026-08-06T01:09:06.000Z momentum-repricing
    Bitcoin price on August 7 centered near $64,500-$65,000 Kalshi ladder
    • Kalshi ladder implies Bitcoin settling around $64,500-$65,000 on August 7: 71% above $64,000, 53% above $64,500, dropping to 34% above $65,000.
    • Despite a major active hardware wallet exploit and a sweeping security audit with 5,000 findings, the market-implied BTC price shows no collapse, current spot near $63,909-$64,832 is roughly consistent with the ladder.
    • The Bitcoin-above-$100K-by-September Kalshi contract (CM-EVT-ZPMYBGJP99) prices just 1-11% across its strikes, confirming the market sees no near-term recovery to six figures.
    • The year-end Bitcoin-above-$100K ladder (CM-EVT-0MWN62PNG9) sits at only 14%, indicating the market treats the security-incident week as a headwind to longer-term price recovery.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbtcd-26aug0717/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbtcd-26aug0717
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxbtcd-26aug0717")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PFHRR5PCZ2",
  "slug": "kxbtcd-26aug0717",
  "question": "Bitcoin price, August 7, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "bitcoin-price",
    "crypto-markets",
    "price-point",
    "2026",
    "spot-price"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 50,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 816731,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks",
      "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI?ref=blog.cfbenchmarks.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI)",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →