Will the DOJ release the Biden ghostwriter tapes? [ resolves 2026-07 – 2026-10 ]
Will the Department of Justice (DOJ) release audio recordings of interviews conducted between Joe Biden and ghostwriter Marc Zwonitzer before Oct 1, 2026?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | entity | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Department of Justice (DOJ) has released audio recordings of interviews conducted between Joe Biden and ghostwriter Marc Zwonitzer to the public before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Released to the public means the document is made freely accessible to the general public without restriction, can be viewed, downloaded, or accessed by the public (paywalls and similar restrictions still count as public), and the release is intentional by the entity (not a leak or hack). Publishing the full document on a publicly accessible website, making it available through a public records request portal, including it as an attachment to a public filing, distributing to media outlets who publish it in full, or posting on publicly accessible social media platforms all constitute release to the public. Merely describing or summarizing the document's contents, publishing excerpts or portions, showing the document briefly on screen, releasing a redacted version when the unredacted version is specified, or leaking without authorization do NOT constitute release to the public.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "entity" sources (19)
- entity venue-listed
- ABC venue-listed
- any official website or platform operated by entity venue-listed
- The Information venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- NBC venue-listed
- Semafor venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- Department of Justice (DOJ) from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will the Department of Justice (DOJ) release audio recordings of interviews conducted between Joe Biden and ghostwriter Marc Zwonitzer before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 1% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbidentapes-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbidentapes-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbidentapes-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-K5WZ8F15F9",
"slug": "kxbidentapes-26",
"question": "Will the DOJ release the Biden ghostwriter tapes?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"biden-administration",
"doj-records",
"government-transparency",
"document-release"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 11450,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 58,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "entity",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "entity",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "any official website or platform operated by entity",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://semafor.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Department of Justice (DOJ)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}