Will Bernie Sanders endorse a candidate before the midterms? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
Will Bernie Sanders endorse Dan Osborn in the 2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska before Nov 3, 2026?
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 16 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Cori Bush in the 2026 MO-1 House election before… | 2026-11-03 | 98.9% | — | $2.4K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…BUS | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate… | 2026-11-03 | 87.0% | — | $24K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…TAL | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Charles Booker in the 2026 United States Senate… | 2026-11-03 | 72.0% | — | $8.6K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…BOO | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race… | 2026-11-03 | 72.0% | — | $288 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…HIN | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Dan Osborn in the 2026 United States Senate… | 2026-11-03 | 44.0% | — | $1.1K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…OSB | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Juliana Stratton in the 2026 United States Senate… | 2026-11-03 | 33.0% | — | $329 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…STR | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Josh Turek in Iowa Senate Race before Nov 3, 2026 | 2026-11-03 | 31.0% | — | $1.3K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…TUR | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral race… | 2026-11-03 | 30.0% | — | $344 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…RAM | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Mary Peltola in the 2026 United States Senate… | 2026-11-03 | 28.0% | — | $2.5K | C | KXBERNIEENDO…PEL | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Tom Steyer in 2026 California gubernatorial race… | 2026-11-03 | 20.0% | — | $301 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…STE | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial… | 2026-11-03 | 17.0% | $0 | $2 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…BEC | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Zach Wahls in the 2026 United States Senate… | 2026-11-03 | 12.0% | $54 | $453 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…WAH | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Alan Grayson in the 2026 United States Senate… | 2026-11-03 | 7.0% | — | $258 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…GRA | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Antonio Delgado in the 2026 New York gubernatorial… | 2026-11-03 | 4.8% | — | $98 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…DEL | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Cameron Kasky in the 2026 NY-12 House election… | 2026-11-03 | 3.0% | — | $52 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…KAS | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders endorse Omar Fateh in the 2026 Minnesota State Senate… | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $31 | C | KXBERNIEENDO…FAT |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election. The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race. The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Positive comments without explicit support, policy endorsements without nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify.
platform source field
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxbernieendorse-26nov03/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxbernieendorse-26nov03.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxbernieendorse-26nov03") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-34LLMF08Y2",
"slug": "kxbernieendorse-26nov03",
"question": "Will Bernie Sanders endorse a candidate before the midterms?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"2026-midterms",
"bernie-sanders",
"political-endorsements",
"us-elections",
"democrat-candidates"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 42608,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}