Will Alaska's commercial salmon harvest exceed 200 million fish in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-14 (175D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 2027-01-14 | 85.0% | — | $218 | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 | ||
| 105 | 2027-01-14 | 80.0% | — | $665 | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 | ||
| 110 | 2027-01-14 | 74.0% | — | $3.1K | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 | ||
| 115 | 2027-01-14 | 74.0% | — | $3.1K | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 | ||
| 120 | 2027-01-14 | 62.0% | — | $2.8K | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 | ||
| 125 | 2027-01-14 | 57.0% | — | $1.5K | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 | ||
| 130 | 2027-01-14 | 43.0% | — | $20 | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 | ||
| 135 | 2027-01-14 | 35.0% | — | $15 | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 | ||
| 140 | 2027-01-14 | 28.0% | — | $1.4K | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 | ||
| 145 | 2027-01-14 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 | ||
| 150 | 2027-01-14 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXAKSALMON-2…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Alaska Department of Fish and Game | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Alaska's statewide commercial harvest of all salmon for the 2026 season is at least 100 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Alaska Department of Fish and Game" sources (1) · single authority
- Alaska Department of Fish and Game source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaksalmon-26all/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaksalmon-26all |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaksalmon-26all") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-XF002SH6F1",
"slug": "kxaksalmon-26all",
"question": "Will Alaska's commercial salmon harvest exceed 200 million fish in 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"alaska-salmon",
"commercial-fisheries",
"2027-resolution",
"commodity-production",
"environmental-impact"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12781,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Alaska Department of Fish and Game",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.adfg.alaska.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Alaska Department of Fish and Game",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Alaska Department of Fish and Game",
"url": "https://www.adfg.alaska.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}