Will the Arizona Republican Party nominate a candidate for Attorney General? [ resolved 2026-07-22 ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 3 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Petersen · Who will be the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Arizona? | 2026-07-22 | 100.0% | $20 | $3.6K | C | KXAGNOMAZR-26-WPET | ||
| Rodney Glassman · Who will be the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Arizona? | 2026-07-22 | 0.0% | — | $2.0K | C | KXAGNOMAZR-26-RGLA | ||
| Greg Roeberg · Who will be the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Arizona? | 2026-07-22 | 0.0% | — | $1 | C | KXAGNOMAZR-26-GROE |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The Wall Street Journal | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Rodney Glassman wins the Republican Party nomination to contest the 2026 Attorney General election in Arizona, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Wall Street Journal" sources (7)
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Who will be the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Arizona? | kalshi | 2026-07-22 | 0% |
| YES | Who will be the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Arizona? | kalshi | 2026-07-22 | 100% |
| NO | Who will be the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Arizona? | kalshi | 2026-07-22 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxagnomazr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxagnomazr-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxagnomazr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-PDYT2QJPL6",
"slug": "kxagnomazr-26",
"question": "Will the Arizona Republican Party nominate a candidate for Attorney General?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"arizona-politics",
"republican-nominee",
"attorney-general",
"2027-election",
"us-state-races"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5612,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 78,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "The Wall Street Journal",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}