Which companies will be acquired this year? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 27 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Pizza Hut	2027-01-01	99.0%	—	$7.6K	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…IZZ`
Delivery Hero	2027-01-01	99.0%	—	$4.0K	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…ELI`
PayPal	2027-01-01	63.0%	—	$4.8K	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…AYP`
Spire Healthcare	2027-01-01	44.0%	—	$393	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…PIR`
Brown-Forman	2027-01-01	32.0%	—	$35	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…BFB`
Perplexity AI	2027-01-01	19.0%	—	$599	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…ERP`
SentinelOne	2027-01-01	18.0%	—	$156	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…ENT`
Pinterest	2027-01-01	18.0%	—	$24	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…INT`
Snap	2027-01-01	17.0%	—	$902	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…NAP`
ElevenLabs	2027-01-01	16.0%	—	$7	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…LEV`
EBay	2027-01-01	15.0%	—	$320	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…BAY`
GitLab	2027-01-01	15.0%	—	$367	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…ITL`
Viking Therapeutics	2027-01-01	13.0%	$34	$564	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…IKI`
Figma	2027-01-01	12.0%	—	$109	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…IGM`
Nebius	2027-01-01	11.0%	—	$299	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…EBI`
Zoom	2027-01-01	11.0%	—	$414	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…OOM`
BP	2027-01-01	10.0%	—	$327	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…YBP`
Magnum Ice Cream Company	2027-01-01	9.0%	—	$83	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…AGN`
Anthropic	2027-01-01	8.0%	—	$1.3K	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…NTH`
Universal Music Group	2027-01-01	8.0%	—	$131	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…NIV`
OpenAI	2027-01-01	7.0%	—	$121	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…PEN`
Uber	2027-01-01	2.0%	—	$13	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…BER`
Caesars Entertainment	2027-01-01	0.0%	—	—	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…AES`
Six Flags Entertainment	2027-01-01	0.0%	—	—	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…SIX`
Cordis	2027-01-01	0.0%	—	—	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…ORD`
Ornn	2027-01-01	0.0%	—	—	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…RNN`
MGM Resorts	2027-01-01	0.0%	—	—	C	`KXACQANNOUNC…MGM`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Securities and Exchange Commission	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 27 markets · share this text

If any company announces an agreement to acquire Caesars Entertainment before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Securities and Exchange Commission"

sources (10) · single authority

Securities and Exchange Commission source of record venue-listed
ABC venue-listed
CNBC venue-listed
The Guardian venue-listed
Bloomberg venue-listed
The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
Financial Times venue-listed
Reuters venue-listed
the New York Times venue-listed
BBC venue-listed

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
YES	Will any company announce acquisition of Delivery Hero before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2026-07-17`	`99%`
YES	Will any company announce acquisition of Pizza Hut before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2026-06-25`	`99%`

Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (2 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxacqannounceannual-27jan01/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxacqannounceannual-27jan01`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxacqannounceannual-27jan01")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KJN8H55Y72",
  "slug": "kxacqannounceannual-27jan01",
  "question": "Which companies will be acquired this year?",
  "category": "companies",
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "mergers-and-acquisitions",
    "corporate-finance",
    "deal-completion",
    "2027",
    "multi-company"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 27,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 22549,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 66,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Securities and Exchange Commission",
      "url": "https://www.sec.gov/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNBC",
      "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Guardian",
      "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Financial Times",
      "url": "https://www.ft.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "BBC",
      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →