CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone, and if so, what will its price be? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
kalshi 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $1,800 2027-01-01 90.0%
$45 $10K
B KXAAPLPRICEF…800
≥ $2,000 2027-01-01 65.0%
$88 $15K
B KXAAPLPRICEF…000
≥ $2,200 2027-01-01 40.0%
$41 $14K
B KXAAPLPRICEF…200
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff ABC not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 3 markets · share this text
If the first price announced for a foldable iPhone is at least $1800, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaplpricefold-27/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaplpricefold-27.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxaaplpricefold-27")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-77B3MX8X66",
  "slug": "kxaaplpricefold-27",
  "question": "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone, and if so, what will its price be?",
  "category": "technology",
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "foldable-iphone",
    "apple-product-pricing",
    "consumer-electronics",
    "hardware-price-prediction",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 39348,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 68,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "ABC",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →