National average gas price, June 15, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-15 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 22 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $3.86 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $329 | $838 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…860 | ||
| ≥ $3.88 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | — | $162 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…880 | ||
| ≥ $3.9 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $555 | $1.3K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…900 | ||
| ≥ $3.92 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | — | $237 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…920 | ||
| ≥ $3.94 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $8.1K | $6.2K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…940 | ||
| ≥ $3.96 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $12 | $1.4K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…960 | ||
| ≥ $3.98 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $1.8K | $3.0K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…980 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $1.2K | $2.6K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…000 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $3.8K | $5.4K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…020 | ||
| ≥ $4.04 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $5.6K | $6.6K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…040 | ||
| ≥ $4.05 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $358 | $358 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…050 | ||
| ≥ $4.06 | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $4.0K | $6.4K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…060 | ||
| ≥ $4.07 | 2026-06-15 | 0.0% | $1.2K | $1.2K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…070 | ||
| ≥ $4.08 | 2026-06-15 | 0.0% | $1.6K | $2.0K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…080 | ||
| ≥ $4.09 | 2026-06-15 | 0.0% | $37 | $37 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…090 | ||
| ≥ $4.1 | 2026-06-15 | 0.0% | $553 | $1.1K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…100 | ||
| ≥ $4.11 | 2026-06-15 | 0.0% | $141 | $141 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…110 | ||
| ≥ $4.12 | 2026-06-15 | 0.0% | $774 | $1.5K | A | KXAAAGASW-26…120 | ||
| ≥ $4.14 | 2026-06-15 | 0.0% | $107 | $648 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…140 | ||
| ≥ $4.16 | 2026-06-15 | 0.0% | $24 | $486 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…160 | ||
| ≥ $4.18 | 2026-06-15 | 0.0% | $12 | $239 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…180 | ||
| ≥ $4.2 | 2026-06-15 | 0.0% | $64 | $163 | A | KXAAAGASW-26…200 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | AAA | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.860 on Jun 15, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "AAA" sources (1) · single authority
- AAA source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.860? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.880? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.900? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.920? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.940? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.960? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $3.980? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.000? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.020? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.040? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.050? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.060? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.070? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.090? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.100? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.110? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.120? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.140? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.160? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.180? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 0% |
| NO | Will average **gas prices** be above $4.200? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (22 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasw-26jun15/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasw-26jun15 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasw-26jun15") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0H91TR22P8",
"slug": "kxaaagasw-26jun15",
"question": "National average gas price, June 15, 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-gas-prices",
"energy-commodities",
"weekly-markets",
"inflation-indicator",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 22,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 42162,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "AAA",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "AAA",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "AAA",
"url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}