Will the maximum gas price in Texas reach a specific level by the end of this year? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < 3.80 | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $6.1K | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….80 | ||
| < 4.00 | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $6.3K | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….00 | ||
| < 4.20 | 2027-01-01 | 94.0% | $3 | $5.6K | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….20 | ||
| < 4.80 | 2027-01-01 | 55.0% | $36 | $2.0K | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….80 | ||
| < 5.40 | 2027-01-01 | 30.0% | — | $710 | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….40 | ||
| < 4.40 | 2027-01-01 | 21.0% | — | $1.7K | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….40 | ||
| < 5.60 | 2027-01-01 | 19.0% | — | $47 | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….60 | ||
| < 5.20 | 2027-01-01 | 18.0% | $0 | $462 | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….20 | ||
| < 5.80 | 2027-01-01 | 18.0% | — | $40 | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….80 | ||
| < 5.00 | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | $0 | $368 | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….00 | ||
| < 4.60 | 2027-01-01 | 5.0% | — | $319 | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….60 | ||
| < 6.00 | 2027-01-01 | 1.0% | — | $8 | C | KXAAAGASMAXT….00 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasmaxtx-26dec31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasmaxtx-26dec31.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasmaxtx-26dec31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-S7CTVTK5B0",
"slug": "kxaaagasmaxtx-26dec31",
"question": "Will the maximum gas price in Texas reach a specific level by the end of this year?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"gas-prices",
"texas-economy",
"commodity-markets",
"2026-resolution",
"energy-sector"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 23506,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}