Will gas prices in New York reach $X per gallon this year? [ resolves 2027-01-07 (156D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < 4.60 | 2027-01-07 | 99.9% | — | $3.8K | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….60 | ||
| < 4.40 | 2027-01-07 | 99.9% | — | $4.2K | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….40 | ||
| < 4.20 | 2027-01-07 | 93.0% | — | $1.0K | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….20 | ||
| < 4.80 | 2027-01-07 | 44.5% | $79 | $4.7K | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….80 | ||
| < 5.00 | 2027-01-07 | 27.1% | $1 | $3.3K | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….00 | ||
| < 5.20 | 2027-01-07 | 26.1% | $3 | $2.6K | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….20 | ||
| < 6.20 | 2027-01-07 | 18.0% | — | $366 | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….20 | ||
| < 5.40 | 2027-01-07 | 17.1% | $4 | $1.4K | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….40 | ||
| < 5.80 | 2027-01-07 | 15.0% | — | $272 | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….80 | ||
| < 6.00 | 2027-01-07 | 13.0% | — | $259 | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….00 | ||
| < 5.60 | 2027-01-07 | 7.9% | — | $544 | A | KXAAAGASMAXN….60 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | AAA | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "AAA" sources (1) · single authority
AAA committed source
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasmaxny-26dec31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasmaxny-26dec31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasmaxny-26dec31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7W5ZNTWXW6",
"slug": "kxaaagasmaxny-26dec31",
"question": "Will gas prices in New York reach $X per gallon this year?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"gas-prices",
"new-york",
"energy-commodities",
"us-inflation",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 22388,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "AAA",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "AAA",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "AAA",
"url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}