Will US gas prices reach a specific peak in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $4 | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $319 | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….00 | ||
| ≥ $4.2 | 2027-01-01 | 98.0% | — | $6.5K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….20 | ||
| ≥ $4.4 | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $6.9K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….40 | ||
| ≥ $4.6 | 2027-01-01 | 60.0% | $4.9K | $20K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….60 | ||
| ≥ $4.8 | 2027-01-01 | 43.0% | $4.0K | $27K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….80 | ||
| ≥ $5 | 2027-01-01 | 39.0% | $550 | $28K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….00 | ||
| ≥ $5.2 | 2027-01-01 | 36.0% | $116 | $11K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….20 | ||
| ≥ $5.4 | 2027-01-01 | 15.0% | $350 | $3.2K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….40 | ||
| ≥ $5.6 | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | $118 | $7.4K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….60 | ||
| ≥ $5.8 | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | $30 | $8.4K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….80 | ||
| ≥ $6 | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | $4 | $7.4K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….00 | ||
| ≥ $6.2 | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | $14 | $2.7K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….20 | ||
| ≥ $6.4 | 2027-01-01 | 20.0% | — | $4.6K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….40 | ||
| ≥ $6.6 | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | $1 | $1.1K | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….60 | ||
| ≥ $6.8 | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | — | $971 | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….80 | ||
| ≥ $7 | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | $6 | $904 | C | KXAAAGASMAX-….00 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasmax-26dec31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasmax-26dec31.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasmax-26dec31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-F6046BB5W1",
"slug": "kxaaagasmax-26dec31",
"question": "Will US gas prices reach a specific peak in 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-energy-prices",
"gasoline-markets",
"inflation-tracking",
"commodity-volatility",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 137513,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}