Will the average US gas price be above $3.50 per gallon in June 2026? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 22 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $2.9 | 2026-06-30 | 99.0% | — | $1.1K | C | KXAAAGASM-26….90 | ||
| ≥ $3 | 2026-06-30 | 99.0% | — | $74 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….00 | ||
| ≥ $3.1 | 2026-06-30 | 96.0% | — | $1.9K | C | KXAAAGASM-26….10 | ||
| ≥ $3.2 | 2026-06-30 | 99.0% | $1 | $171 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….20 | ||
| ≥ $3.3 | 2026-06-30 | 97.0% | $151 | $659 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….30 | ||
| ≥ $3.4 | 2026-06-30 | 91.0% | $4 | $309 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….40 | ||
| ≥ $3.5 | 2026-06-30 | 87.0% | — | $1 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $3.6 | 2026-06-30 | 83.0% | — | $42 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….60 | ||
| ≥ $3.7 | 2026-06-30 | 93.0% | $7 | $100 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….70 | ||
| ≥ $3.8 | 2026-06-30 | 91.0% | $5 | $45 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….80 | ||
| ≥ $3.9 | 2026-06-30 | 87.0% | $2 | $279 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….90 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2026-06-30 | 89.0% | $9 | $263 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….00 | ||
| ≥ $4.1 | 2026-06-30 | 84.0% | $17 | $125 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….10 | ||
| ≥ $4.2 | 2026-06-30 | 62.0% | $708 | $1.1K | C | KXAAAGASM-26….20 | ||
| ≥ $4.3 | 2026-06-30 | 39.0% | $118 | $359 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….30 | ||
| ≥ $4.4 | 2026-06-30 | 54.0% | $125 | $2.3K | C | KXAAAGASM-26….40 | ||
| ≥ $4.5 | 2026-06-30 | 49.0% | $1.1K | $2.6K | C | KXAAAGASM-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $4.6 | 2026-06-30 | 30.0% | $124 | $1.2K | C | KXAAAGASM-26….60 | ||
| ≥ $4.7 | 2026-06-30 | 23.0% | $68 | $214 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….70 | ||
| ≥ $4.8 | 2026-06-30 | 14.0% | $6 | $186 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….80 | ||
| ≥ $4.9 | 2026-06-30 | 24.0% | $296 | $513 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….90 | ||
| ≥ $5 | 2026-06-30 | 10.0% | $23 | $156 | C | KXAAAGASM-26….00 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.90 on Jun 30, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagasm-26jun30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagasm-26jun30.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagasm-26jun30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7GKSNL50Y4",
"slug": "kxaaagasm-26jun30",
"question": "Will the average US gas price be above $3.50 per gallon in June 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-gasoline-prices",
"energy-commodities",
"near-term-forecast",
"2026",
"inflation-indicator"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 22,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13705,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}