Will the average US gas price be below $3.00 per gallon on Election Day 2024? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $2.5 | 2026-11-03 | 91.0% | — | $790 | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….50 | ||
| ≥ $2.75 | 2026-11-03 | 92.0% | — | $386 | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….75 | ||
| ≥ $3 | 2026-11-03 | 93.0% | — | $1.1K | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….00 | ||
| ≥ $3.25 | 2026-11-03 | 77.0% | — | $4.8K | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….25 | ||
| ≥ $3.5 | 2026-11-03 | 69.0% | — | $155 | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….50 | ||
| ≥ $3.75 | 2026-11-03 | 44.0% | — | $1.4K | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….75 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2026-11-03 | 69.0% | $5 | $1.6K | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….00 | ||
| ≥ $4.25 | 2026-11-03 | 36.0% | — | $540 | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….25 | ||
| ≥ $4.5 | 2026-11-03 | 33.0% | — | $421 | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….50 | ||
| ≥ $4.75 | 2026-11-03 | 24.0% | — | $96 | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….75 | ||
| ≥ $5 | 2026-11-03 | 13.0% | $0 | $148 | pending | KXAAAGASED-2….00 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxaaagased-26nov03/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxaaagased-26nov03.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxaaagased-26nov03") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3H5LTWXVM6",
"slug": "kxaaagased-26nov03",
"question": "Will the average US gas price be below $3.00 per gallon on Election Day 2024?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-gas-prices",
"2026-election",
"energy-commodities",
"us-economy",
"november-2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 11367,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "pending",
"rcg_score": null,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://gasprices.aaa.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}