A100 SXM4 compute per hour price in 2026 (multi-deadline series) [ resolved 2026-07-01 ]
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $0.24 by Jun 30?
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 20 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $0.24 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $3.1K | C | KXA100Q-26JU…240 | ||
| ≥ $0.34 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $1.1K | C | KXA100Q-26JU…340 | ||
| ≥ $0.44 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $1.2K | C | KXA100Q-26JU…440 | ||
| ≥ $0.54 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $333 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…540 | ||
| ≥ $0.64 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $396 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…640 | ||
| ≥ $0.74 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $409 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…740 | ||
| ≥ $0.84 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $217 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…840 | ||
| ≥ $0.94 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $222 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…940 | ||
| ≥ $1.04 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $155 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…040 | ||
| ≥ $1.14 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $68 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…140 | ||
| ≥ $1.24 | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | — | $106 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…240 | ||
| ≥ $1.34 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $88 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…340 | ||
| ≥ $1.44 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $104 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…440 | ||
| ≥ $1.54 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $28 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…540 | ||
| ≥ $1.64 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $60 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…640 | ||
| ≥ $1.74 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $17 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…740 | ||
| ≥ $1.84 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $10 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…840 | ||
| ≥ $1.94 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $7 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…940 | ||
| ≥ $2.04 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $19 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…040 | ||
| ≥ $2.14 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $4 | C | KXA100Q-26JU…140 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Ornn | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour is above $0.24 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the value of A100 SXM4 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The "USD" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding "No data" or "None" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Ornn" sources (1) · single authority
- Ornn source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.34 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.44 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.64 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.74 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.84 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.94 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.04 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.14 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.24 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.14 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.04 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $0.94 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $0.84 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $0.74 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $0.64 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $0.54 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $0.44 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $0.34 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
| YES | Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $0.24 by Jun 30? | kalshi | 2026-06-22 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (20 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxa100q-26jun30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxa100q-26jun30 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxa100q-26jun30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-RK0ZVN5494",
"slug": "kxa100q-26jun30",
"question": "A100 SXM4 compute per hour price in 2026 (multi-deadline series)",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"nvidia-hardware",
"cloud-compute-pricing",
"gpu-economics",
"q2-2026",
"infrastructure-costs"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 20,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7734,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Ornn",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Ornn",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Ornn",
"url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}