Will Jeffrey Epstein's death be confirmed as foul play by a credible investigative body? [ resolved 2026-04-01 ]
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (3)
- U.S. government from rules text · editorial
- law enforcement agencies from rules text · editorial
- courts from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-FS93QYYZ65",
"slug": "jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025",
"question": "Will Jeffrey Epstein's death be confirmed as foul play by a credible investigative body?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"epstein-foul-play",
"2025-resolution",
"trump",
"criminal-justice",
"conspiracy-theories"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 3135524,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 10,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"discretionary_trigger_no_source",
"adversarial_ground_truth",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "U.S. government",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "law enforcement agencies",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "courts",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}