Will there be IPOs before 2027? [ resolves 2025-12 – 2026-12 ]
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 34 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wealthfront | 2025-12-12 | 100.0% | — | $23K | C | 0x21c134…f027 | ||
| XAI | 2026-02-03 | 1.4% | — | $123K | C | 0x570b4a…57a2 | ||
| Once Upon a Farm | 2026-02-06 | 99.9% | — | $215K | C | 0xfc5524…05eb | ||
| Cerebras | 2026-05-16 | 99.9% | — | $428K | C | 0xdb4d39…9025 | ||
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) | 2026-06-12 | 99.9% | — | $697K | C | 0xc8a898…4c0b | ||
| SHEIN | 2026-12-31 | 86.3% | $220 | $92K | C | 0xd6487f…4eb7 | ||
| Anthropic | 2026-12-31 | 66.0% | $3.3K | $389K | C | 0x652202…a303 | ||
| Discord | 2026-12-31 | 31.0% | $536 | $466K | C | 0x48fcbf…f36a | ||
| OpenAI | 2026-12-31 | 21.0% | $412 | $435K | C | 0x7844ad…5af3 | ||
| WHOOP | 2026-12-31 | 18.0% | — | $1.3K | C | 0x56ff1e…d1e6 | ||
| Remote | 2026-12-31 | 16.0% | — | $55K | C | 0xf9bca7…1c3d | ||
| Mistral AI | 2026-12-31 | 15.0% | — | $163K | C | 0x579100…ff29 | ||
| Fannie Mae | 2026-12-31 | 14.0% | $537 | $171K | C | 0xb4eafb…3172 | ||
| Applied Intuition | 2026-12-31 | 13.9% | — | $206K | C | 0x76d92e…e3a9 | ||
| Rippling | 2026-12-31 | 12.0% | $15 | $119K | C | 0x52bf4b…df6f | ||
| Vanta | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | — | $136K | C | 0xa11a18…b8c6 | ||
| Ripple Labs | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $151K | C | 0x898dad…a9f7 | ||
| Celonis | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $210K | C | 0x48d4ae…66fe | ||
| Glean | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $49K | C | 0x65e6bb…bd90 | ||
| Freddie Mac | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | $1 | $246K | C | 0xc45eb8…029b | ||
| Anduril Industries | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $39K | C | 0xce76a9…92cb | ||
| Epic Games | 2026-12-31 | 8.5% | $40 | $80K | C | 0x425b8f…e20b | ||
| Ramp | 2026-12-31 | 8.0% | — | $148K | C | 0x9dd67d…a38f | ||
| ByteDance | 2026-12-31 | 8.0% | — | $18K | C | 0x764a4d…d33c | ||
| Databricks | 2026-12-31 | 7.0% | $14 | $485K | C | 0xfa0166…4776 | ||
| Ledger | 2026-12-31 | 7.0% | — | $513K | C | 0x8f1a5e…eed0 | ||
| Anduril | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | — | $356K | C | 0xb7a72d…3566 | ||
| Revolut | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | $250 | $60K | C | 0xad60a9…c69a | ||
| Canva | 2026-12-31 | 5.0% | $100 | $39K | C | 0xfbf56e…6e48 | ||
| Deel | 2026-12-31 | 4.0% | — | $134K | C | 0xd21614…f2a9 | ||
| Waymo | 2026-12-31 | 3.5% | — | $53K | C | 0xd66c74…a836 | ||
| Stripe | 2026-12-31 | 1.6% | — | $266K | C | 0x3189b7…4c83 | ||
| Brex | 2026-12-31 | 1.0% | — | $222K | C | 0x62ef6c…a02d | ||
| Anysphere (Cursor) | 2026-12-31 | 1.0% | $18 | $101K | C | 0x8f3d3d…1934 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/ipos-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/ipos-before-2027 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("ipos-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-HGNDB105Y6",
"slug": "ipos-before-2027",
"question": "Will there be IPOs before 2027?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"business",
"finance",
"ipo",
"capital-markets",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 34,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6889391,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}