Will the sender of the "I beat Bush" Epstein email be confirmed as a specific individual by a certain date? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 33 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 84.0% | — | $4.0K | C | 0xa0a027…bf90 | ||
| Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 4.2% | — | $1.4K | C | 0x6e521b…bd39 | ||
| Will Ben Carson be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 3.7% | — | $1.9K | C | 0x8c961f…a7c0 | ||
| Will Rand Paul be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 1.7% | — | $1.6K | C | 0x2b482d…ece3 | ||
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 1.7% | — | $1.7K | C | 0xd6e6de…8408 | ||
| Will Ted Cruz be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $1.7K | C | 0x715b8f…c402 | ||
| Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $1.7K | C | 0x3e93b8…940b | ||
| Will Placeholder G be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xac509d…80cf | ||
| Will Placeholder I be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x288447…faf3 | ||
| Will Placeholder N be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6ec0be…b2b0 | ||
| Will Placeholder B be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd6d0d3…839c | ||
| Will Placeholder C be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc08570…45ec | ||
| Will Placeholder E be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x34a523…eff9 | ||
| Will Placeholder H be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xac4ce3…99c4 | ||
| Will Placeholder L be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe42a99…f5dc | ||
| Will Placeholder O be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x49a9c8…9a8d | ||
| Will Placeholder W be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xacf4db…bded | ||
| Will Placeholder F be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xda11d7…d8f2 | ||
| Will Placeholder J be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc54702…6c35 | ||
| Will Placeholder M be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x55d4d3…38da | ||
| Will Placeholder P be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x99ee03…1c6a | ||
| Will Placeholder R be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd7cb25…ed73 | ||
| Will Placeholder T be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x408077…53d2 | ||
| Will Placeholder X be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6dc86c…23d1 | ||
| Will Placeholder Z be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf08770…1e8c | ||
| Will another individual not listed above be confirmed to be the sender of the… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf66824…5515 | ||
| Will Placeholder D be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xeb957a…4c36 | ||
| Will Placeholder K be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x992960…c3a4 | ||
| Will Placeholder Q be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb71359…5e88 | ||
| Will Placeholder S be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x80e0e4…a193 | ||
| Will Placeholder U be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe99060…dc55 | ||
| Will Placeholder V be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x79b836…7dcf | ||
| Will Placeholder Y be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4fea63…4e26 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/i-beat-bush-epstein-email-sender-confirmed-as-in-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/i-beat-bush-epstein-email-sender-confirmed-as-in-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("i-beat-bush-epstein-email-sender-confirmed-as-in-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-C4JY7HLGG8",
"slug": "i-beat-bush-epstein-email-sender-confirmed-as-in-2026",
"question": "Will the sender of the \"I beat Bush\" Epstein email be confirmed as a specific individual by a certain date?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump",
"epstein",
"email-authentication",
"2026",
"identity-verification"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 33,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13918,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 24,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"adversarial_ground_truth"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}