How many FIFA World Cup matches will Trump attend? [ resolved 2026-07-20 ]
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 4 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 World Cup matches | 2026-07-20 | 0.0% | $4.2K | $5.1K | C | 0xdc4e1b…c82a | ||
| 1 World Cup match | 2026-07-20 | 100.0% | $2.2K | $2.4K | C | 0x5b5b88…67f2 | ||
| 2 World Cup matches | 2026-07-20 | 0.0% | $1.5K | $1.7K | C | 0xb93a2a…05cb | ||
| 3 or more World Cup matches | 2026-07-20 | 0.0% | $4.6K | $5.3K | C | 0xddb6d1…a6f7 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the number of 2026 FIFA World Cup matches Donald Trump attends in person .
If the world cup has not been completed by August 31, this market will resolve according to the number of games he has attended up to that point.
Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? | polymarket | 2026-07-19 | 100% |
| NO | Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? | polymarket | 2026-07-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches? | polymarket | 2026-07-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches? | polymarket | 2026-07-15 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (4 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/how-many-world-cup-matches-will-trump-attend-20260610185739769/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/how-many-world-cup-matches-will-trump-attend-20260610185739769 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("how-many-world-cup-matches-will-trump-attend-20260610185739769") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3PZNY9NP47",
"slug": "how-many-world-cup-matches-will-trump-attend-20260610185739769",
"question": "How many FIFA World Cup matches will Trump attend?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"trump",
"world-cup-2026",
"sports-attendance",
"politics",
"public-figure-behavior",
"us-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 4,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14516,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 38,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}