Will a new representative be elected for New York's 17th House district by January 4, 2027? [ resolves 2026-11 – 2027-01 ]
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-17?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the House member sworn in for NY-17 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
Library of Congress committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Democratic win the House race for NY-17? | kalshi | 2026-11-06 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- NY-17 House race trades to certainty for Democrats 100% · $995K 24h
- Kalshi prices a Democratic NY-17 House win at 100%, market has fully resolved this race.
- $995K is 72% of all-time contract volume, arriving as Election Day results come in.
- NY-17 was a targeted competitive district; a 100% price means reported results are decisive.
- Resolves on certified NY-17 congressional result.
- NY-17 Democratic House odds hold firm at 99% 99% · $965K 24h
- Kalshi prices Democratic win in NY-17 at 99%, a toss-up district priced as nearly decided.
- 72% of all-time volume cleared in 24h, an outsized single-session concentration.
- NY-17 is a targeted competitive seat; heavy late volume confirms Democratic lean has held through counting.
- Resolves on certified NY-17 2026 House result.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/houseny17-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/houseny17-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("houseny17-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-YYRD31F2R5",
"slug": "houseny17-26",
"question": "Will a new representative be elected for New York's 17th House district by January 4, 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-house-elections",
"new-york",
"2026-midterms",
"partisan-prediction",
"electoral-race"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14055,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}