GRVT FDV one day after launch [ resolves 2028-01-01 (527D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 14 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $50,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 99.0% | $18 | $112K | C | 0x961230…730c | ||
| ≥ $100,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 96.6% | $3.6K | $254K | C | 0x0e5282…fcf4 | ||
| ≥ $150,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 94.0% | $42 | $3.2K | C | 0x7d9006…f2f4 | ||
| ≥ $200,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 87.0% | $616 | $267K | C | 0x0f2158…6fd7 | ||
| ≥ $250,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 72.0% | $103 | $3.4K | C | 0x20cac8…1ab6 | ||
| ≥ $300,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 70.0% | $1.1K | $119K | C | 0x4cb05d…9ac1 | ||
| ≥ $350,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 50.0% | $400 | $1.5K | C | 0x181f5e…6f14 | ||
| ≥ $400,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 42.0% | $620 | $1.7K | C | 0x791ebd…c742 | ||
| ≥ $450,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 38.0% | — | $214 | C | 0xebb663…ff3c | ||
| ≥ $500,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 23.0% | $117 | $76K | C | 0x33733c…fb0f | ||
| ≥ $550,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 24.0% | — | $97 | C | 0x626b60…7711 | ||
| ≥ $600,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 21.0% | — | $84 | C | 0xa68064…1133 | ||
| ≥ $800,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 5.2% | $117 | $48K | C | 0x49a713…279f | ||
| ≥ $1,000,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 1.5% | $1.5K | $42K | C | 0x0e2703…325e |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://x.com/grvt_io sources (2)
- x.com venue-listed
- https://x.com/grvt_io from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/grvt-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/grvt-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("grvt-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7M5TF2VT1",
"slug": "grvt-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
"question": "GRVT FDV one day after launch",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"token-launch",
"fdv-valuation",
"grvt",
"2028",
"crypto-derivatives"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 14,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 927112,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 46,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/grvt_io",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "x.com",
"url": "https://x.com/grvt_io",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "https://x.com/grvt_io",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}