GRVT FDV one day after launch [ resolves 2028-01-01 (577D) ]

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by strike

polymarket 7 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
≥ $50,000,000	2028-01-01	97.9%	$12	$50K	C	`0x961230…730c`
≥ $100,000,000	2028-01-01	93.0%	$47	$76K	C	`0x0e5282…fcf4`
≥ $200,000,000	2028-01-01	76.0%	$17	$100K	C	`0x0f2158…6fd7`
≥ $300,000,000	2028-01-01	43.0%	$93	$50K	C	`0x4cb05d…9ac1`
≥ $500,000,000	2028-01-01	24.0%	$6	$41K	C	`0x33733c…fb0f`
≥ $800,000,000	2028-01-01	7.2%	—	$26K	C	`0x49a713…279f`
≥ $1,000,000,000	2028-01-01	5.7%	$134	$21K	C	`0x0e2703…325e`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	x.com	link	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 7 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

platform source field polymarket.description → https://x.com/grvt_io

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/grvt-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/grvt-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("grvt-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y7M5TF2VT1",
  "slug": "grvt-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "GRVT FDV one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "grvt",
    "2028"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 7,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 364201,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 44,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "x.com",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/grvt_io",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →