Ohio Governor winner? [ resolves 2027-01-14 (175D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | US State Governments | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Ohio pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "US State Governments" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- US State Governments source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
- Ohio GOP governorship race trades at a coin flip 51% · $133K 24h
- Kalshi prices the Republican at 51%, dead even, implying no consensus on the outcome.
- $133K traded in 24h, nearly half (48%) of all-time volume, signaling a sudden concentration of fresh capital.
- Paired trading with Spike 3 (Dem side at 50%) suggests active two-sided positioning, not a directional bet.
- Resolves on Ohio gubernatorial election result; both sides are liquid enough to move quickly on any new polling.
- Democratic Ohio governorship odds hold near 50% 50% · $68K 24h
- Kalshi prices the Democrat at 50%, the market assigns zero edge to either party in this race.
- $68K in 24h is 38% of all-time volume, a meaningful but smaller surge than the Republican-side contract.
- Both Ohio contracts moving together points to correlated repricing, likely driven by a shared data input such as a poll.
- Resolves on election night Ohio; the 1-point spread between the two contracts (51/50) is within noise.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/govpartyoh-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/govpartyoh-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("govpartyoh-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJYN286LR2",
"slug": "govpartyoh-26",
"question": "Ohio Governor winner?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"gubernatorial-election",
"ohio",
"2027-election",
"state-executive"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 259843,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "US State Governments",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "US State Governments",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "US State Governments",
"url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}