Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]
polymarket: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June | 2026-06-30 | 43.5% | $397 | $59K | B | 0xa19142…6d45 | ||
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June | 2026-06-30 | 33.0% | $35 | $53K | B | 0x5e75c4…8c43 | ||
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June | 2026-06-30 | 14.6% | $255 | $60K | B | 0x5b8779…373b | ||
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June | 2026-06-30 | 6.8% | $65 | $71K | B | 0xbbf9e2…6e94 | ||
| ≤ $3,800 | 2026-06-30 | 2.1% | $2 | $232K | B | 0x3f973c…5430 | ||
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June | 2026-06-30 | 1.4% | — | $65K | B | 0x74cda8…f46f | ||
| ≥ $6,200 | 2026-06-30 | 1.4% | $6.5K | $210K | B | 0x7d4227…db94 | ||
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June | 2026-06-30 | 0.9% | — | $249K | B | 0x7130b2…2d85 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/gc-settle-jun-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/gc-settle-jun-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("gc-settle-jun-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-W8SF1QWYB1",
"slug": "gc-settle-jun-2026",
"question": "Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"commodities",
"finance",
"gold-futures",
"price-settlement",
"june-2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 998562,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_illustrative"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}