Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9? [ resolves 2026-06-09 (6D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $1,400 | 2026-06-09 | 97.5% | $3.9K | $3.9K | A | 0x72a659…ac86 | ||
| ≥ $1,500 | 2026-06-09 | 98.8% | $1.4K | $1.4K | A | 0xcec961…b886 | ||
| ≥ $1,600 | 2026-06-09 | 94.9% | $7.8K | $7.8K | A | 0xe54ca4…8b18 | ||
| ≥ $1,700 | 2026-06-09 | 90.0% | $203 | $203 | A | 0xf59c09…aaf6 | ||
| ≥ $1,800 | 2026-06-09 | — | — | — | A | 0x7d3044…1573 | ||
| ≥ $1,900 | 2026-06-09 | 40.0% | $5 | $5 | A | 0xeacb7e…d6b9 | ||
| ≥ $2,000 | 2026-06-09 | 22.0% | $767 | $767 | A | 0x430003…7629 | ||
| ≥ $2,100 | 2026-06-09 | — | — | — | A | 0xd6443b…b048 | ||
| ≥ $2,200 | 2026-06-09 | 5.2% | $48 | $48 | A | 0x961291…8cb2 | ||
| ≥ $2,300 | 2026-06-09 | 21.0% | $12 | $12 | A | 0x94bd3b…3a14 | ||
| ≥ $2,400 | 2026-06-09 | — | $15 | $15 | A | 0x636727…1421 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | binance.com | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/ethereum-above-on-june-9-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/ethereum-above-on-june-9-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("ethereum-above-on-june-9-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-01FP5DY012",
"slug": "ethereum-above-on-june-9-2026",
"question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"ethereum",
"crypto",
"crypto-prices",
"price-prediction",
"2026",
"spot-price"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14066,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "binance.com",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}