CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Ethereum price, June 15, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-15 ]

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 11 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $1,200 2026-06-15 100.0%
$5 $8
A 0x2a92d3…6b3e
≥ $1,300 2026-06-15 100.0%
$5 $3.4K
A 0x69061f…1e67
≥ $1,400 2026-06-15 100.0%
$5 $9.8K
A 0x112a29…2983
≥ $1,500 2026-06-15 100.0%
$1.9K $10K
A 0xb32c55…3bad
≥ $1,600 2026-06-15 100.0%
$1.1K $2.0K
A 0x710271…9c03
≥ $1,700 2026-06-15 100.0%
$356 $2.0K
A 0x49f54f…7d07
≥ $1,800 2026-06-15 100.0%
$2.1K $2.4K
A 0x0ab792…fa51
≥ $1,900 2026-06-15 0.0%
$295 $295
A 0xb637fd…a4e6
≥ $2,000 2026-06-15 0.0%
A 0xccfa96…606d
≥ $2,100 2026-06-15 0.0%
$5 $705
A 0xe5eff9…14db
≥ $2,200 2026-06-15 0.0%
$46 $46
A 0x9e671c…d1c0
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 11 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
sources (3) · single authority
  • binance.com venue-listed
  • Binance source of record from rules text · editorial
  • https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT from rules text · editorial
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 0%
NO Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 0%
YES Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 100%
NO Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 0%
YES Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 100%
YES Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 100%
NO Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 15? polymarket 2026-06-15 0%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (11 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/ethereum-above-on-june-15-2026/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/ethereum-above-on-june-15-2026
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("ethereum-above-on-june-15-2026")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8NDFRCRDM1",
  "slug": "ethereum-above-on-june-15-2026",
  "question": "Ethereum price, June 15, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "ethereum",
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026",
    "short-term"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 11,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 30734,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 91,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Binance",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "binance.com",
      "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Binance",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →