Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) close higher on June 12 than it closed on June 11? [ resolved 2026-06-12 ]
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 12?
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 12 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $57K | $57K | C | 0x360c20…47d4 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Friday, June 12, 2026 is higher than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Friday, June 12, 2026 is lower than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
If DJIA does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".
US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
platform source field
polymarket.description → "https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks" resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/djia-up-or-down-on-june-12-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/djia-up-or-down-on-june-12-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("djia-up-or-down-on-june-12-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0C9VCGCHB7",
"slug": "djia-up-or-down-on-june-12-2026",
"question": "Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) close higher on June 12 than it closed on June 11?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"finance",
"stock-market",
"daily-movement",
"djia",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 57464,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks",
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Wall Street Journal",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks",
"url": null,
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "wsj.com",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "wsj.com",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "wsj.com",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Wall Street Journal",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "Dow Jones Industrial Average",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}