Will turnout in the Colombia presidential election runoff exceed 50%? [ resolved 2026-06-22 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 5 markets
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (3) · single authority
- registraduria.gov.co venue-listed
- Colombian government from rules text · editorial
- Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-06-26 | 100% |
| NO | Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-06-26 | 0% |
| NO | Will voter turnout be <52% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-06-25 | 0% |
| NO | Will voter turnout be 52-56% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-06-25 | 0% |
| NO | Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-06-25 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (5 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/colombia-presidential-election-runoff-turnout-20260604201936978/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/colombia-presidential-election-runoff-turnout-20260604201936978 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("colombia-presidential-election-runoff-turnout-20260604201936978") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-C147QKW4C4",
"slug": "colombia-presidential-election-runoff-turnout-20260604201936978",
"question": "Will turnout in the Colombia presidential election runoff exceed 50%?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"colombia",
"voter-turnout",
"2026",
"latin-america"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13303,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "registraduria.gov.co",
"url": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Colombian government",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}