Will the candidate with the most votes from Bogotá win the Colombia presidential election runoff? [ resolved 2026-06-22 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Cepeda Castro | 2026-06-22 | 100.0% | $1.8K | $15K | A | 0xa7b2ca…bb10 | ||
| Abelardo de la Espriella | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | $9.6K | $38K | A | 0x065c9c…c5a7 | ||
| Candidate I | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x7a9ae8…97e1 | ||
| Candidate J | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x4ec869…6784 | ||
| Candidate K | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x8b181f…0b62 | ||
| Candidate L | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x2e2125…143a | ||
| Candidate M | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xc300aa…a672 | ||
| Candidate N | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x87559f…ee01 | ||
| Someone else | 2026-06-22 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x757490…ec58 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (2) · stated precedence rule
- registraduria.gov.co venue-listed
- Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) source of record from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-06-25 | 100% |
| NO | Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-06-25 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (2 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/colombia-presidential-election-runoff-most-votes-from-bogota-20260604201820508/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/colombia-presidential-election-runoff-most-votes-from-bogota-20260604201820508 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("colombia-presidential-election-runoff-most-votes-from-bogota-20260604201820508") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3FMH5DB186",
"slug": "colombia-presidential-election-runoff-most-votes-from-bogota-20260604201820508",
"question": "Will the candidate with the most votes from Bogotá win the Colombia presidential election runoff?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"colombia-politics",
"2026",
"regional-voting",
"bogota"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 53003,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "registraduria.gov.co",
"url": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}