CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Chirayu Rana be divorced by the end of 2024? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]

Chirayu Rana divorced?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
polymarket 1 market
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Chirayu Rana divorced 2026-06-30 1.0%
$198 $81K
C 0x7db277…e865
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 1 market · share this text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chirayu Rana and/or his spouse announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Chirayu Rana and/or his spouse, and their representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may also be considered.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/chirayu-rana-divorced/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/chirayu-rana-divorced.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("chirayu-rana-divorced")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FYQKNKBYZ7",
  "slug": "chirayu-rana-divorced",
  "question": "Will Chirayu Rana be divorced by the end of 2024?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "personal-status",
    "celebrity",
    "binary-outcome",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 80662,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 40,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →