Cambria fully diluted valuation one day after launch, January 1, 2028 [ resolves 2028-01-01 (527D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $20,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 55.0% | — | $36K | C | 0x85c619…453b | ||
| ≥ $30,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 46.0% | — | $21K | C | 0x1c82b2…4dd4 | ||
| ≥ $40,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 34.0% | — | $7.9K | C | 0x26e439…50bd | ||
| ≥ $50,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 31.0% | — | $1.1K | C | 0x9ef1f8…ba4a | ||
| ≥ $70,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 18.0% | — | $192 | C | 0xc7eb1d…4bf7 | ||
| ≥ $100,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 10.0% | — | $330 | C | 0x35ca9e…08cb | ||
| ≥ $150,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 16.0% | — | $691 | C | 0x8372cb…dd3c | ||
| ≥ $200,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 1.8% | — | $945 | C | 0x0f0469…d949 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://x.com/playcambria sources (2)
- x.com venue-listed
- Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/cambria-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/cambria-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("cambria-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0FPV7QD7H3",
"slug": "cambria-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
"question": "Cambria fully diluted valuation one day after launch, January 1, 2028",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"token-launch",
"fdv-valuation",
"cambria",
"2028"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 67939,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 38,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/playcambria",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "x.com",
"url": "https://x.com/playcambria",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}