Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? [ resolves 2026-04 – 2027-01 ]

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

polymarket 4 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026	2026-04-01	0.1%	—	$3.93M	A	`0x3fd88d…5588`
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026	2026-07-01	0.6%	$19K	$2.01M	A	`0x337ed4…ade4`
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026	2026-10-01	4.3%	$6.1K	$763K	A	`0x6123b5…f3d9`
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026	2027-01-01	13.0%	$29K	$1.07M	A	`0x18076e…9576`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	binance.com	link	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 4 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

platform source field polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bitcoin-all-time-high-by/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bitcoin-all-time-high-by.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("bitcoin-all-time-high-by")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7XKCKHYQX4",
  "slug": "bitcoin-all-time-high-by",
  "question": "Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "bitcoin",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-milestone",
    "ath",
    "2026",
    "crypto"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 7765933,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 81,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "binance.com",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →