Bitcoin price, June 17, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-17 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $52,000 | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $522 | $4.5K | A | 0x34720e…8137 | ||
| ≥ $54,000 | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $2.4K | $8.1K | A | 0xf3e565…23c9 | ||
| ≥ $56,000 | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $1.6K | $6.8K | A | 0xfc93bd…c24a | ||
| ≥ $58,000 | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $3.1K | $5.7K | A | 0xc77a0c…a28e | ||
| ≥ $60,000 | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $2.5K | $2.8K | A | 0x588ef1…23cc | ||
| ≥ $62,000 | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $500 | $1.2K | A | 0xa5bdfa…0ac2 | ||
| ≥ $64,000 | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $1.8K | $2.3K | A | 0xe552a2…9b34 | ||
| ≥ $66,000 | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | $370 | $485 | A | 0xd08497…6cb9 | ||
| ≥ $68,000 | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | $330 | $466 | A | 0xf7f79a…560e | ||
| ≥ $70,000 | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | $1.4K | $12K | A | 0xfc1eb8…139f | ||
| ≥ $72,000 | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | $40 | $105 | A | 0xbeeac8…bf27 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT sources (3) · single authority
- binance.com venue-listed
- Binance source of record from rules text · editorial
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| YES | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| YES | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| YES | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| YES | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| YES | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| YES | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| YES | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (11 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Bitcoin near $64K-$66K on June 17 splits the ladder Polymarket ladder
- Kalshi ladder implies Bitcoin is priced at $64K-$66K on June 17: 53% above $64K but only 25% above $66K, consistent with spot near $64,835.
- Analyst 'meaningful floor' framing for the $60K-$70K range is consistent with the ladder showing 90% above $60K but sharp drop-off above $66K.
- The end-of-June trimmed mean ladder shows only 8% above $75K, indicating markets see limited upside extension from current levels near term.
- Resolves intraday June 17 via the Kalshi price feed; current spot near $64,835 puts the $64K-$66K range squarely in focus.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bitcoin-above-on-june-17-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bitcoin-above-on-june-17-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("bitcoin-above-on-june-17-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-DF6R2T0FW1",
"slug": "bitcoin-above-on-june-17-2026",
"question": "Bitcoin price, June 17, 2026",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"bitcoin",
"crypto-prices",
"price-prediction",
"spot-price",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 44267,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Binance",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "binance.com",
"url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Binance",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}