Will the Bank of Brazil make a decision in June? [ resolves 2026-06-16 (13D) ]

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

polymarket 3 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting	2026-06-16	76.0%	$3.5K	$88K	A	`0xa68cd3…2718`
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting	2026-06-16	26.2%	$5.0K	$57K	A	`0x0111a2…7eac`
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting	2026-06-16	1.0%	$3.0K	$52K	A	`0x1b9241…c9ce`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	bcb.gov.br	link	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 3 markets · share this text

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

platform source field polymarket.description → https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-june/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-june.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("bank-of-brazil-decision-in-june")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H06H8553R0",
  "slug": "bank-of-brazil-decision-in-june",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Brazil make a decision in June?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "economic-policy",
    "central-banking",
    "brazil",
    "monetary-policy"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 197254,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 84,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "bcb.gov.br",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →