Will the Republican Party of Armenia win the most seats in the Armenian parliamentary election? [ resolves 2026-06-07 (4D) ]
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 36 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly… | 2026-06-07 | 94.0% | $17K | $130K | C | 0xc18b1b…ff1c | ||
| Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly… | 2026-06-07 | 5.3% | $2.5K | $33K | C | 0x5847ca…5d60 | ||
| Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly… | 2026-06-07 | 1.2% | $2.1K | $90K | C | 0xca8313…32b0 | ||
| Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National… | 2026-06-07 | 0.3% | $4.5K | $36K | C | 0xc1e6e7…74b4 | ||
| Will Armenian National Congress win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian… | 2026-06-07 | 0.1% | — | $25K | C | 0x08897a…8a17 | ||
| Will Bright Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly… | 2026-06-07 | 0.1% | — | $23K | C | 0xf5b525…47b7 | ||
| Will I Have Honor Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National… | 2026-06-07 | 0.1% | — | $18K | C | 0x28a544…6225 | ||
| Will Hanrapetutyun Party win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National… | 2026-06-07 | 0.1% | — | $20K | C | 0x11aca5…0a8f | ||
| Will Heritage win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.1% | — | $21K | C | 0x39d907…6b25 | ||
| Will Orinats Yerkir win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly… | 2026-06-07 | 0.1% | — | $23K | C | 0x6f3c86…28de | ||
| Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa50643…263c | ||
| Will Uzhakh Hayastan win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly… | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xaa11bd…c642 | ||
| Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8bc749…3270 | ||
| Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc54787…8b03 | ||
| Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x478251…1f66 | ||
| Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6efe2e…c83b | ||
| Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x43fd1a…fa67 | ||
| Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfb3789…a0c1 | ||
| Will Party V win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8d4377…6646 | ||
| Will Party W win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3c944e…4424 | ||
| Will Party Z win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x859585…911b | ||
| Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x049c41…4aae | ||
| Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6988dc…bc43 | ||
| Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x48568e…457d | ||
| Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbe6b7d…865e | ||
| Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5cf128…064d | ||
| Will Party X win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x125afd…edf9 | ||
| Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2918aa…507d | ||
| Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x665d87…ab63 | ||
| Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x46a51b…79a3 | ||
| Will Party Y win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5cf9b9…2b3a | ||
| Will another party win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly… | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe02c2e…6078 | ||
| Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3ae2d4…b6ac | ||
| Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xdc450a…6b3c | ||
| Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x62e232…11e8 | ||
| Will Party U win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc19e4f…4262 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/armenia-parliamentary-election-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/armenia-parliamentary-election-winner.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("armenia-parliamentary-election-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-KT7FV8NBR9",
"slug": "armenia-parliamentary-election-winner",
"question": "Will the Republican Party of Armenia win the most seats in the Armenian parliamentary election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"armenia",
"parliamentary",
"2026",
"government-formation"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 36,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 419138,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 43,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.elections.am/",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}