CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity's Last Exam, June 30, 2026 [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 5 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ 30% 2026-06-30 99.9%
$45K
A 0xfea26f…5e64
≥ 35% 2026-06-30 99.9%
$97K
A 0x394564…61de
≥ 45% 2026-06-30 27.0%
$93 $139K
A 0x4a3ae5…2a2d
≥ 50% 2026-06-30 12.0%
$2.8K
A 0x370f7e…9ec8
≥ 55% 2026-06-30 6.5%
$5.9K
A 0x1a89ff…74ea
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers Official Humanity’S Last Exam Leaderboard link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 5 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-june-30/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-june-30.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-june-30")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-63ZPJ9NF31",
  "slug": "anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-june-30",
  "question": "Anthropic Claude score on Humanity's Last Exam, June 30, 2026",
  "category": "technology",
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "claude",
    "ai-benchmarks",
    "anthropic",
    "capability-assessment",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 289260,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 81,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Official Humanity’S Last Exam Leaderboard",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →