Will Andy Burnham become an MP by June 30? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

polymarket 1 market

market	resolves	P(YES)		vol (24h)	vol (cum)		RCG	venue id
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30	2026-06-30	75.0%		$121	$53K		C	`0x36c602…546e`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	uncommitted	not provided	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 1 market · share this text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/andy-burnham-becomes-an-mp-by-june-30/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/andy-burnham-becomes-an-mp-by-june-30.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("andy-burnham-becomes-an-mp-by-june-30")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-28S04HXWY7",
  "slug": "andy-burnham-becomes-an-mp-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Andy Burnham become an MP by June 30?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "uk-politics",
    "andy-burnham",
    "2026",
    "parliamentary-seats"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 53479,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 66,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →