Will the 3rd largest company by market capitalization be determined by the end of June? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 29 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 65.0% | $4.4K | $11K | C | 0xb71867…f4b8 | ||
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 37.0% | $4.0K | $10K | C | 0x9efb1d…e2e0 | ||
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 1.2% | $868 | $7.6K | C | 0xcc54c9…8511 | ||
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.6% | $1000 | $4.6K | C | 0x11159f…ce4f | ||
| Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 0.3% | $824 | $3.9K | C | 0xe45932…6fc7 | ||
| Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $813 | $3.6K | C | 0x6f159f…417e | ||
| Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on… | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $813 | $3.7K | C | 0xb39628…ae96 | ||
| Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | — | $835 | C | 0x7dfddd…0ca5 | ||
| Will Company A be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe9140e…66c5 | ||
| Will Company C be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe415e9…effa | ||
| Will Company E be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x826d59…6537 | ||
| Will Company G be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5a8fd6…72c3 | ||
| Will Company I be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbdfada…194f | ||
| Will Company K be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf58106…693e | ||
| Will Company M be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf64629…dcbf | ||
| Will Company O be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbdc51f…e22b | ||
| Will Company Q be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xedf384…7262 | ||
| Will Company S be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4931ef…396f | ||
| Will any other company be the third-largest company in the world by market cap… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe24516…ae4c | ||
| Will Company B be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x47c7cc…ac53 | ||
| Will Company D be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x938b97…bb82 | ||
| Will Company F be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8a894c…65d5 | ||
| Will Company H be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf20c55…3bf2 | ||
| Will Company J be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x38e8dc…237a | ||
| Will Company L be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x05bf70…b881 | ||
| Will Company N be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8ae0f7…4924 | ||
| Will Company P be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8d0d5f…44ab | ||
| Will Company R be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7b7ce6…0069 | ||
| Will Company T be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9b6dbb…1b16 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/3rd-largest-company-end-of-june/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/3rd-largest-company-end-of-june.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("3rd-largest-company-end-of-june") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-D4L1NNZKH7",
"slug": "3rd-largest-company-end-of-june",
"question": "Will the 3rd largest company by market capitalization be determined by the end of June?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"market-capitalization",
"tech-giants",
"ranking-prediction",
"2026",
"equity-markets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 29,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 45508,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}