Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 29 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 70.0% | $17K | $44K | C | 0x917b6d…18b6 | ||
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 32.0% | $11K | $42K | C | 0x3616e2…fce8 | ||
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 3.2% | $9.4K | $29K | C | 0x02b7f8…4238 | ||
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $6.2K | $30K | C | 0xbf1188…440c | ||
| Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $9.7K | $30K | C | 0x7eb3da…d94b | ||
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $5.9K | $22K | C | 0x403bd1…5db8 | ||
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on… | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $7.3K | $26K | C | 0x2ea7e8…4b15 | ||
| Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $6.1K | $24K | C | 0x670fc8…41d7 | ||
| Will Company A be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x814dfa…0a89 | ||
| Will Company C be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xec1bee…f169 | ||
| Will Company E be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1c5f01…65a2 | ||
| Will Company G be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x824d14…5f99 | ||
| Will Company I be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1ad722…041a | ||
| Will Company K be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3d85a0…6c09 | ||
| Will Company M be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5eb96e…f6fb | ||
| Will Company O be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x312f54…b2b8 | ||
| Will Company Q be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfb739e…a269 | ||
| Will Company S be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3bcfdc…dad3 | ||
| Will any other company be the second-largest company in the world by market cap… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7e5d83…854a | ||
| Will Company B be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1df9f3…ac1e | ||
| Will Company D be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa332c4…47f5 | ||
| Will Company F be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xba4c5b…3f4a | ||
| Will Company H be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x00f75d…16f9 | ||
| Will Company J be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3b51cc…de71 | ||
| Will Company L be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x57ac29…94ad | ||
| Will Company N be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe9980f…7c41 | ||
| Will Company P be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb57e18…dbaf | ||
| Will Company R be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc8e0bf…8fdc | ||
| Will Company T be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1cc540…d1ee |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/2nd-largest-company-end-of-june-849/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/2nd-largest-company-end-of-june-849.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("2nd-largest-company-end-of-june-849") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-5MSNF28G94",
"slug": "2nd-largest-company-end-of-june-849",
"question": "Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"market-capitalization",
"tech-giants",
"ranking-prediction",
"corporate-valuation",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 29,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 247112,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}