Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? [ resolves 2027-04-17 (318D) ]
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 46 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 93.0% | — | $5.1K | C | 0xc86cea…8020 | ||
| Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 84.0% | — | $2.2K | C | 0x1c1591…4b63 | ||
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 77.0% | — | $7.3K | C | 0xb73b23…0b35 | ||
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 75.0% | $7 | $1.6K | C | 0x12ca66…ea88 | ||
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 75.0% | — | $244 | C | 0xc991e4…cee2 | ||
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 68.0% | — | $5.7K | C | 0x3a00d0…5223 | ||
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 67.0% | — | $415 | C | 0x1fd89a…49b5 | ||
| Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 59.0% | — | $1.0K | C | 0xdfdebe…a1d0 | ||
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 54.0% | — | $1.7K | C | 0x09f281…ab0c | ||
| Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 47.0% | — | $1.3K | C | 0xc372e8…ebed | ||
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 44.0% | — | $1.8K | C | 0x3b47c2…99ea | ||
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 44.0% | $248 | $3.6K | C | 0x888a5a…2896 | ||
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 34.0% | $102 | $4.0K | C | 0xec2ecb…4004 | ||
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 34.0% | $17 | $2.4K | C | 0xe90a85…3d07 | ||
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 32.0% | $20 | $3.7K | C | 0x7e5a57…096f | ||
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 32.0% | — | $1.9K | C | 0x2fbe9f…db45 | ||
| Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 26.0% | — | $2.2K | C | 0x0b3918…ddfb | ||
| Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 24.0% | — | $457 | C | 0xe2cdff…edaa | ||
| Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 23.0% | — | $187 | C | 0x7d2ecf…3c2b | ||
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 21.0% | $143 | $3.2K | C | 0xa4a28a…dcff | ||
| Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 20.0% | — | $1.9K | C | 0xd48be3…a7cb | ||
| Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 20.0% | — | $242 | C | 0xd43d12…1885 | ||
| Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 17.1% | — | $740 | C | 0xcdde30…5d4f | ||
| Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 16.0% | $190 | $5.7K | C | 0x719d9b…1b0a | ||
| Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 16.0% | — | $1.2K | C | 0x0a85a0…1a69 | ||
| Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 15.0% | $672 | $1.5K | C | 0x6da7ef…0e23 | ||
| Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 10.1% | — | $1.3K | C | 0xafa076…d193 | ||
| Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 10.0% | — | $953 | C | 0xf68b70…6b27 | ||
| Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 9.0% | — | $1.6K | C | 0x915356…0812 | ||
| Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 8.0% | — | $1.2K | C | 0xedc7ce…cd69 | ||
| Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 8.0% | — | $1.2K | C | 0x6988d0…aab3 | ||
| Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 8.0% | — | $773 | C | 0xbdfff5…fcc5 | ||
| Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 7.0% | — | $1.7K | C | 0x257b72…2030 | ||
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 7.0% | — | $324 | C | 0x55d5fb…e36d | ||
| Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 6.0% | — | $1.3K | C | 0x7dd556…6ae1 | ||
| Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 5.5% | — | $2.8K | C | 0xe5ee6c…dd1e | ||
| Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 5.0% | — | $1.1K | C | 0xe2dc92…01c7 | ||
| Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 5.0% | — | $874 | C | 0xd327d8…224d | ||
| Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 5.0% | — | $155 | C | 0x4a467c…bf6f | ||
| Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 5.0% | — | $718 | C | 0xab960c…2c8d | ||
| Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 4.0% | — | $1.3K | C | 0x7a1663…ef5d | ||
| Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 4.0% | — | $256 | C | 0x4779b0…6c8a | ||
| Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 3.2% | $47 | $5.0K | C | 0x15048c…1464 | ||
| Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential… | 2027-04-17 | 3.0% | — | $1.6K | C | 0xca7fbf…93f1 | ||
| Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 2.7% | — | $344 | C | 0x31510e…65f3 | ||
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election | 2027-04-17 | 2.7% | — | $478 | C | 0x090633…b95e |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/2027-french-presidential-election-who-will-be-on-the-ballot/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/2027-french-presidential-election-who-will-be-on-the-ballot.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("2027-french-presidential-election-who-will-be-on-the-ballot") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-6Q8LZ5QQW0",
"slug": "2027-french-presidential-election-who-will-be-on-the-ballot",
"question": "Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"france",
"presidential-election",
"2027",
"ballot-access"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 46,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 86307,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 70,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}